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Blog
Since 2021, I've been posting online about the weather both locally and around the country on various platforms. What started out as updating weather articles on Wikipedia grew into a genuine passion for learning, to the point where I'm now making my own observations and forecasts. This blog is a record of that journey. If a blog post was originally made on a different platform, as most of them were, the original post is linked.
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January 24, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1750138146757489074
7:45 am 2 S Lexington, MA - 1.1" on the board this morning. Temperature 32°. Elevation 270'. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX
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January 20, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1748842857203421424
6:00 pm 2 S Lexington, MA - A surprise to be sure, but a welcome one! 0.4" on the board from our little event today. Temperature 14°. Elevation 270'. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX
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January 16, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1747314956205212125
12:45 pm 2 S Lexington, MA - Storm total 2.8" on the board, now mixing with sleet and rain. Temperature 27°. Elevation 270'. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX
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January 16, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1747251115010216361
8:30 am 2 S Lexington, MA - 1.3" of very light snow on the board. Moderate snow continues. Temperature 24°. Elevation 270'. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX
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January 14, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1746690021174780267
As I had anticipated, the trend with Tuesday's system over the past day has been more consolidated and further NW. I would expect this trend to continue, maybe right up until precip onset.
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January 12, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1745914799693640135
The trend with Tuesday's system over the past two days has been noticeably weaker. Behind the scenes, models have a lot to work out and it'll be a couple more days before they really figure it out. I will say setups like this typically trend NW in the mid-range.
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January 10, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1745172493373948394
Next widespread snowstorm threat is the Tuesday-Wednesday timeframe next week. Strong signal on ensembles this far out, worth watching.
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January 7, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1744185028794347936
9:30 pm 2 S Lexington, MA - Looks like I called it off too early... up to 9.0" on the board after that last band. Snow tapering off now. Temperature 23°. Elevation 270'. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX
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January 7, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1744080346105151921
2:30 pm 2 S Lexington, MA - 8.5" on the board, 0.5" in the last hour. Moderate snow continues. Temperature 24°. Elevation 270'. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX
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January 7, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1743973788151119879
7:30 am 2 S Lexington, MA - 4.5" on the board, 1.8" in the past 3.5 hours. Moderate snow continues to fall. Temperature 32°. Elevation 270'. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX
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January 7, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1743920936942784755
4:00 am 2 S Lexington, MA - 2.7" on the board, snow picking up again now after a brief lull. Temperature 32°. Elevation 270'. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX
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January 5, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1743405538002481444
Here are my current thoughts on snow totals with our weekend system. Uncertainty is quite high for the coast from NYC to Boston, and I would go with the lower end of these amounts for those areas.
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January 3, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1742723005522784308
As models begin to stabilize, here are my rough first thoughts on our weekend system. Pink and teal zones may need to be adjusted significantly as we get closer. Still four days to go with this one.
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January 2, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1742314935500132856
The trend since yesterday has been weaker and further north, as I had anticipated, and the axis of heaviest snow is now NW of I-95. I do expect this trend to continue, but for how much longer remains to be seen.
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January 1, 2024
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1741930587131154603
First legitimate snowstorm threat in the mid-range for SNE this season is next weekend. I will say the time of year favors interior areas, especially with a strong Nino, but nothing can be ruled out yet.
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December 25, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1739343870092005781
Downed power line and crash on US-281 about a mile north of the Kansas-Nebraska state line. Red Cloud fire department is on the scene and the northbound lane is closed to traffic. @NWSHastings
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December 25, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1739278713752002875
Looks like a bust this morning in Grand Island. Most of the heaviest snow appears to have missed us to the north and east. Will drive around the area today and see what I can find.
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December 6, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1732384883257864385
8:00 am 2 S Lexington, MA - 0.1" on the board, light snow continues to fall. Officially off the mark for the 2023-24 season! Temperature 29°. Elevation 270'. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX
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September 9, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1700591020994392575
I don't usually post about individual model runs but I already know my timeline is about to be flooded by the 12z operational Euro. The 12z EPS shifted slightly faster but otherwise very similar to 00z, so I think it's safe to call the 12z Euro a fluke.
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September 4, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1698852173520470174
Way too many people doomposting about 95L. Too early to rule anything out, but the overall pattern supports troughing in the eastern US, which would cause the system to accelerate out to sea.
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July 22, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1682766770321457152
Don might be making a run to hurricane strength. Without a doubt the best looking storm of the NATL season so far.
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May 25, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1661866691494592513
I don't usually tweet about tropical cyclones, but this probably deserves a mention. What a beast.
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April 13, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1646637629083926528
Seabreeze died down and temperature skyrocketed to 92.3° 2 S Lexington. First 90-degree day of the year. Was the first 80-degree day of the year too. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX
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March 19, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1637576369671487489
We're likely done with snow this winter, which means we're ending with 30.8" on the season 2 S Lexington. The average is ~53"; I had 67.2" in 2020-21 and 57.4" in 2021-22. The biggest event was 6.1" Jan 22-23; in 2020-21 it was 18.5" Feb 1-2 and in 2021-22 it was 18.9" Jan 28-29.
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March 15, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1636021355144413185
Observed snowfall totals below. I heavily underestimated totals in northern Worcester County, NW Middlesex County, and NW CT. The 4-6" and 1-4" ranges were about 5-10 mi too far SE in EMass/RI. Overall not too bad but too many flaws for anything higher than a C+.
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March 14, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1635816498169016320
9:30 pm 2 S Lexington, MA - 4.0" on the board, 0.3" in the last hour. Steady moderate snow continues. Temperature 33°. Elevation 270'. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX @BradyBGWX
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March 14, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1635672415156961281
12:00 pm 2 S Lexington, MA - 1.1" on the board, all in the last 40 minutes. All surfaces completely covered in snow. Temperature 33°. Elevation 270'. Spotter ID 21-207 @WX1BOX @BradyBGWX
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March 13, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1635401441400721408
Snowfall forecast for tonight-Wednesday's system. This was by no means an easy forecast and could easily bust in either direction.
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March 13, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1635317185269891075
NBM is still the most realistic solution IMO. Perhaps a bit overdone at the immediate coast, especially for SE Mass and the Cape, but otherwise I like this depiction a lot.
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March 12, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1634962809648988161
NBM seems very reasonable to me.
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March 11, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1634662584182865924
No snow map coming until at least tomorrow afternoon. Models have been far too volatile. Long way to go with this one still.
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March 11, 2023
Original: x.com/PC8923/status/1634544312636637184
00z EPS was about as good as it gets 4 days out.
